Posts tagged: logarithmic

Relationship Between Gold, Inflation, and Equities II

 

Introduction:

In part-1 of this study, we considered the question of whether monthly returns of gold were correlated with those of inflation or equities in the United States of America. We analyzed three decades of monthly returns using two statistical techniques, correlation and regression analysis. Were you surprised by the results?

Here in part-2 we will investigate whether there has been a relationship between the long term price trends of gold, inflation, and equities. But before we do, let us first clearly distinguish between “correlation of returns” and “price trends“.

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Relationship Between Gold, Inflation, and Equities

 

Introduction:

No doubt you have often heard it stated as a matter of fact that gold is a hedge against inflation or, what may at first glance seem synonymous, that gold is correlated with inflation. Have you wondered to what degree this may be true, if it is true at all? Perhaps curiosity about gold has been piqued in light of recent record gold prices coupled with economic conditions in general.

In this first of two articles we will assemble and analyze data describing the statistical correlation between the monthly returns of gold, inflation, and equities. And in part-2 of this study we will compare the long term price trends of gold, inflation, and equities. Read more »

Chart Patterns: Head and Shoulders

Introduction:    

We discussed important concepts common to chart patterns in a previous article. Having laid the foundation, we now focus on a very popular reversal pattern called the “Head and Shoulders”. Remember that reversal patterns are found at the end of a major trend, while continuation patterns form within a trend. Read more »

Chart Patterns: An Overview

Picture of nested Russian dollsIntroduction:

Consider any field of study, and it soon becomes apparent that topics can be categorized in a nested fashion, much like a set of wooden Russian dolls. In the field of technical analysis, chart patterns are one of the bigger dolls inside of the big doll.

Having a detailed understanding of chart patterns will dramatically improve your technical analysis skill regardless of your trading time frame. The interpretation of shorter term price movement will become clearer when taken in light of the larger chart pattern.

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