Posts tagged: resistance

A Technical Analysis of Gold’s Secular Uptrend

 

Introduction:

Building upon the previous three studies on gold, we conclude with a technical analysis of gold’s secular bull market trend since 2001. We will use time series analysis to determine gold’s secular trend growth rate, and historical volatility to set the trend boundaries. The trend and its historical boundaries will offer a reference point for identifying where we are today – a first step in any decision making process.

Technical analysis, with its proclivity to market timing, is a critical part of the investment decision process regardless of methodology or time horizon. I hope that this article will make it increasingly obvious how closely related technical analysis is to fundamental analysis and how the two disciplines are indeed inseparable.
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Chart Patterns: Double-Top

Introduction: 

The principles discussed in last month’s articles on chart patterns, the overview and the head and shoulders, underlie reversal chart patterns in general. They apply to this article’s topic as well: the double-top reversal pattern

Perhaps the most common mistake when identifying patterns is neglecting to consider the preceding trend. This is akin to neglecting the context. To emphasize an important point made in the overview article: 

“Chart patterns are divided into two main groups: reversal patterns which occur at the end of a trend, or continuation patterns which reside within the trend. It logically follows then that a prerequisite to any chart pattern is the existence of a prior trend.” 

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Chart Patterns: Head and Shoulders

Introduction:    

We discussed important concepts common to chart patterns in a previous article. Having laid the foundation, we now focus on a very popular reversal pattern called the “Head and Shoulders”. Remember that reversal patterns are found at the end of a major trend, while continuation patterns form within a trend. Read more »

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